Global Journal of Technology and Optimization

Invisible Hand activities Prediction With Analysis Protection Tax Loss and GDP Current Price in Indonesia State

Abstract

Dodi Irwan Siregar*

Invisible Hand activities that have taken the world's attention enough through the news in the mass media, both print and electronic lately, including the activities of smuggling goods out of the country, such as wood, fuel oil, to endangered protected animals, as well as cases of the entry of goods from China to Indonesia without going through the customs gate. This phenomenon caused losses to the state in the event that the import tax was not collected and the unrestricted import of goods entering Indonesia. Invisible Hand is an integral part of the economic activities of most countries in the world. Invisible Hand itself is an economic activity both legally and illegally missed from the calculation of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), also known as other unofficially economy or black economy, which has now become a global issue. This study uses multiple linear regression analysis to predict and predict changes in the value of certain variables when other variables change. Correlation is one of the statistical analysis techniques used to find relationships between two or more quantitative variables. By using linearity test where f count > f table is 47.9676 > 2.98 So, Ho is rejected. Where multiple linear regression analysis can be used to analyze the effect of the Undergrown Economy on Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product. Obtaining a multiple linear regression equation is Y = 99835.53808 - 50667.7077X₁ + 215.7054395X₂. t1 count > t table = 118,485 ≤ 2,262; then Ho is rejected, that is, there is a large (significant) partial effect between the annual Indonesian Tax Loss Potential (X1) against the Economic Underground (Y) in Indonesia 2003-2016. t2 count > t table is 30.2387 > 2.262 then Ho is rejected meaning, There is a large (partially) significant influence between the Indonesian current price GDP (X2) against the Economic Undergrown (Y) in Indonesia from 2003-2016. Interpretation of correlation (linkages) relationship between IDR-USD (Y) Variable Average lost tax revenue per year (X1) and Gross Domestic Product (X2) 0.960743936 with superior correlation interpretations ranging from 0.76 to 1.00.