Morgantown, West Virginia
Tanzania
Research Article
Forecasting System Monitoring under Non-normal Input Noise Distributions
Author(s): Hoda Sabeti, Omar Al-Shebeeb and Majid JaridiHoda Sabeti, Omar Al-Shebeeb and Majid Jaridi
In quantitative forecasting models and tracking signal methods, input noise is often assumed to be normally and independently distributed. The goal of this research was to study the distribution of tracking signal and build new monitoring schemes for when the input noise distribution is not necessarily normal. A demand process in the Wilson inventory model was simulated using several input noise distributions. The effectiveness of a proposed tracking signal model was evaluated and compared to existing methods using an inventory cost model. It was found that it is not realistic to assume a normal distribution for the tracking signal even when the noise is normal. Because of the dependency of tracking signal elements, and since there is no specific distribution for it, we used simulation to estimate the best value for the standard deviation and suggest ±3 íÂ?&Acir.. Read More»
DOI:
10.4172/2169-0316.1000194
Industrial Engineering & Management received 739 citations as per Google Scholar report