Department of Statistics, Aliah University, West Bengal, India
Review Article
An Application of Stochastic Modelling: Describing Growth of COVID Infections
Author(s): Sudipta Basu*, Anirban Goswami, Proloy Banerjee and Shreya Bhunia
In this article it is tried to construct a stochastic model which looks a generalized stochastic version of Von Bertalanffy power law model and
Richard’s model and one can use to describe biological growth phenomena according to the appropriate situation and suitability of this model.
It is mainly constructed to explain growth dynamics of patients infected by COVID-19 in South Korea. Here it is attempted to find the expression
of variable of interest at time t and also the MLE of growth rate parameter is worked out. This model is applied to a real life data of infected
patients by COVID-19 in South Korea after observing the growth pattern. This model could be used to the data sets of other countries, where no
lockdown was imposed as a precautionary measure to deal with this situation. Then a comparative study is made between some well-known
models and special c.. Read More»
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